January 30, 2008

Second place in Nevada, but what are his chances?

In the early, rural primaries and caucuses, Ron Paul has achieved very weak results. Sure, he took second place in Nevada (misrepresented on some news pages) and is practically guaranteed to sweep his home state of Texas, and has gotten ten to even fourteen percent of the votes in some states, but no matter how you slice it, this is not a favorable omen when the leading candidates are pulling numbers in the thirty percent range. Nevertheless, Representative Paul’s massive online donations have been coming from somewhere. It is not out of the question to think that he has strongholds in internet-heavy suburban centers in populous states and that these have yet to show his true strength. It is also possible that his organization will streamline their processes and get the message across: if people don’t vote in the primaries, Ron Paul will not be on the Republican ballot this fall. Would a write-in campaign succeed? These are not likely outcomes, but they are possible.

Much more at this fascinating article… 

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig9/hildebeidel1.html